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2,388,728,490

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$1,439,516,703

404,175

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30,277

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2,685

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5

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Sephora Credit Card Spend in August
kalshi

Sephora Credit Card Spend in August

Volume:
$4,939

Above 101

 - Kalshi

Above 101 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 11:12 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 101

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
$305
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,926
N/A
N/A
$1,584
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 107

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,478
N/A
N/A
$1,115
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 110

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$109
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the performance of Sephora's credit card spending for August 2026, comparing it to the same month in the previous year. The index value indicates growth or decline relative to the prior year, with higher numbers showing increased spending. Markets will determine whether spending exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting various levels of year-over-year growth.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the Carbon Arc Sephora Credit Card Spend index for August 2026 exceeds one of several predefined thresholds: 98, 101, 104, 107, or 110. Each threshold represents a distinct level of year-over-year growth, with values above 100 indicating an increase compared to August of the previous year. All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not alter the outcome. The index measures spending relative to the prior year, where 100 signifies no change, values above 100 denote growth (e.g., 103 equals 3% growth), and values below 100 indicate a decline (e.g., 97 equals 3% decline). Kalshi clarifies that it holds no affiliation with Sephora or Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Sephora credit card spend market dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price history for this prediction market, along with daily trading volume of $59. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different spending outcomes, giving you a live view of market sentiment and activity for the Sephora credit card spend market.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially published spending figures, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process that matches the market’s defined parameters.

Key signals that could shift this market include major economic announcements, changes in consumer confidence indices, promotional campaigns from Sephora, and shifts in credit card spending trends. Any surprise data releases or media coverage around luxury retail performance may also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess their positions ahead of the final settlement date.