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SC-06 Republican nominee?
kalshi

SC-06 Republican nominee?

Volume:
$20,360

John Peterson

 - Kalshi

John Peterson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 9:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

John Peterson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,551
N/A
N/A
$9,390
1mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

Maurice Washington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$809
N/A
N/A
$753
1mo 4d
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will secure the Republican Party nomination for South Carolina's 6th congressional district House seat in the 2026 election cycle. On Kalshi, Maurice Washington holds 78.0% probability as the leading contender, while John Peterson stands at 7.0%. The market resolves according to which candidate wins the Republican Party nomination to contest the 2026 SC-06 House seat. Watch the Republican primary process and candidate announcements leading up to the November 2026 general election date for clarity on the eventual nominee.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling because traders are incentivized to forecast the actual outcome rather than capture current voter sentiment. While polls measure voter preference at a snapshot in time, prediction markets incorporate campaign momentum, fundraising, endorsements, and ground organization—factors that shift probabilities between now and the primary election. Markets typically react faster to breaking news and candidate viability shifts than polls do. For SC-06, comparing Kalshi odds to recent district polls can reveal whether traders expect late-breaking dynamics to reshape the race before Nov 3, 2026.

Key catalysts for SC-06 Republican nominee odds include candidate announcements or withdrawals, major endorsements from state or national Republican figures, debate performances, fundraising reports, and polling releases specific to the district. Campaign spending surges, media coverage shifts, or scandals involving leading contenders can trigger sharp repricing. Turnout expectations and early voting data as the primary approaches will also influence trader positioning. National Republican Party dynamics—such as shifts in support from leadership or super-PACs—can reshape the SC-06 race. Traders monitor all these signals continuously, adjusting prices on Kalshi to reflect evolving nomination probabilities.