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SC-06 Democratic nominee?
kalshi

SC-06 Democratic nominee?

Volume:
$1,162

Jim Clyburn

 - Kalshi

Jim Clyburn - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 8:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jim Clyburn

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,129
N/A
N/A
$674
1mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

Frederick Goodwin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
1mo 4d
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Jim Clyburn will secure the Democratic Party nomination for South Carolina's 6th congressional district House seat in the 2026 election cycle. On Kalshi, Jim Clyburn holds 96.0% probability as the leading outcome, while Frederick Goodwin stands at 9.0%. Resolution is determined by the official Democratic Party nomination process for the SC-06 seat. Watch the 2026 general election on November 3, 2026, when the Democratic nominee will be tested against Republican opposition in this competitive district.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling because traders have real financial incentive to forecast accurately, while polls capture a snapshot at a single moment. Markets incorporate insider knowledge, fundraising data, and momentum shifts faster than periodic polls. For the SC-06 Democratic nominee race, the market's current pricing reflects aggregated trader conviction rather than a sample of likely voters. Comparing market odds to published polls can reveal where professional predictors see gaps in conventional wisdom or where consensus is strongest.

The SC-06 Democratic nominee market resolves on Nov 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official outcome of the Democratic nomination process for South Carolina's 6th congressional district. Traders should monitor primary election dates, party convention rules, and any changes to the nomination timeline that could affect when the nominee is officially determined. Clear communication from election authorities and party officials will guide final settlement of all contracts in this market.

Key catalysts for price movement in this market include candidate endorsements from prominent South Carolina Democrats, fundraising announcements and cash-on-hand reports, primary debate performances, and polling releases showing shifts in voter preference. Local media coverage of campaign events, candidate gaffes or controversies, and strategic candidate withdrawals or entries could significantly impact odds. National political developments affecting the Democratic Party's direction may also influence how traders price individual candidates' nomination chances through Nov 3, 2026.