TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 11:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Die Linke's performance in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election, focusing on the proportion of votes they receive compared to all valid ballots cast for party lists. The outcome depends on whether their certified vote share meets or exceeds specific thresholds. Results are based on official, final counts excluding invalid ballots.
All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of the popular vote Die Linke receives in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election, calculated from their share of the Landesstimme (party list vote). The percentage is derived by dividing Die Linke's valid votes by the total number of valid Landesstimmen cast, multiplied by 100, and rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 8% to 18%), and resolves to Yes only if the certified percentage meets or exceeds that specific threshold. Certified results are used exclusively; preliminary figures, invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots, and any changes from recounts after expiration do not affect resolution. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond the market's expiration date, all markets resolve to No.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official election results are verified against credible public sources. The final vote percentage reported by authoritative state election authorities will determine which market outcome is settled, reflecting the actual performance of Die Linke in the Saxony-Anhalt state election.