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Saxony-Anhalt state election: BSW vote percent
kalshi

What will be BSW's vote percent in Saxony-Anhalt state election?

Volume:
$964

At least 5%

 - Kalshi

At least 5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 11:37 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$739
N/A
N/A
$522
2w 1d 17h
Yes
kalshi

At least 4%

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$126
N/A
N/A
$126
2w 1d 17h
Yes
kalshi

At least 3%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$74
2w 1d 17h
Yes
kalshi

At least 6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
2w 1d 17h
No
kalshi

At least 2%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 1d 17h
Yes
kalshi

At least 8%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 1d 17h
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election, focusing specifically on their share of the party list vote. The outcome depends on whether their certified vote percentage meets or exceeds various thresholds. Results are based on official, validated counts after any recounts, with invalid ballots excluded from calculations.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of the party list vote (Landesstimme) received by the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election. The percentage is calculated by dividing BSW's valid votes by the total number of valid Landesstimme cast, multiplying by 100, and rounding to two decimal places. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2% to 8%) that determines a 'Yes' outcome if the certified percentage meets or exceeds that level. Certified results are used exclusively; preliminary figures, invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots, and any changes from post-certification recounts do not affect the resolution until officially updated. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond the market expiration date, all markets resolve to 'No.'

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Saxony-Anhalt BSW vote market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $0. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of various vote share outcomes, giving you a live view of market sentiment for this specific election metric.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect aggregated trader expectations rather than individual expert predictions. While analysts may publish their own projections, the market price captures a broader consensus based on betting activity. Differences between the two can highlight where public sentiment diverges from expert views, offering a complementary perspective on likely outcomes.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. Official vote tallies from the Saxony-Anhalt state election will determine the winning percentage, and the market will close based on those finalized numbers. Timing depends on when authoritative sources publish the certified results.