TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.6b
24H VOL:
$156,130,290
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,919,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,782,923,786
501,315
Markets across
37,757
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,847
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
$
This market will resolve according to Salesforce's announced current remaining performance obligation (RPO) growth on a constant currency basis for the third fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Salesforce's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the constant currency current RPO growth figure will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to Salesforce's announced current remaining performance obligation (RPO) growth on a constant currency basis for the third fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Salesforce's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the constant currency current RPO growth figure will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts for Salesforce’s Q3 RPO growth. While analysts are generally optimistic, anticipating growth within a specific range, this market incorporates a wider spectrum of possibilities, as expressed by the collective judgment of traders. This difference highlights the potential for prediction markets to offer a more nuanced and real-time assessment of future events. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on models and assumptions, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals willing to put capital behind their predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different RPO growth outcomes. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards what the crowd believes is the most accurate prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding Salesforce’s performance. The current volume indicates active trading and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Dec 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth figure is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported percentage change in Salesforce’s current RPO, as disclosed in their official earnings release. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligns with the final reported figure. The market’s resolution is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to determine the winning outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Dec 2, 2026. Any news regarding Salesforce’s sales performance, major contract wins or losses, or broader macroeconomic trends affecting the software industry could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements from competitors or changes in key industry regulations could also influence the market. Furthermore, any revisions to analyst forecasts or significant shifts in investor confidence in Salesforce’s growth prospects are likely to move the odds. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.