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406,065
Markets across
30,522
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Polymarket:
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61%
Closed: Sep 24, 9:15 AM EST
Polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Saint Petersburg and Russia, including the Election Commission of Saint Petersburg and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Saint Petersburg and Russia, including the Election Commission of Saint Petersburg and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional polling averages because they incorporate trader sentiment, betting behavior, and perceived risk alongside stated voter preferences. While polls sample public opinion directly, this market reflects a dynamic mix of expectations and financial incentives. Traders may price in factors such as campaign momentum, economic conditions, or strategic voting that standard polls might not fully capture, potentially leading to divergent forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of seats won by each party will determine which contract settles as the winner, based on official and widely accepted sources. Timing depends on when authoritative results are announced and certified post-election.