TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 16?
polymarket

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 16?

Volume:
$2,160

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 16?

 - Polymarket

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 16? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 16?

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$2,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 is higher than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 is lower than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If RUT does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Russell 2000 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 is higher than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 is lower than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If RUT does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Russell 2000 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Russell 2000 daily movement market tracks real-time odds on whether the RUT index will close higher or lower on June 16. The dashboard displays live pricing, historical price movements, and trading activity for this market. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the current odds reflect the collective prediction of market participants. You can monitor how sentiment shifts throughout the day as new information emerges, giving you a dynamic view of where the crowd expects the small-cap benchmark to finish.

Prediction markets like this one often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets rather than opinions. While equity strategists and technical analysts may publish directional views on the Russell 2000, traders here face direct financial consequences for their predictions, creating stronger incentives for accuracy. This market's odds reflect a decentralized consensus built on actual capital allocation, which can sometimes outperform consensus estimates, especially during volatile or uncertain trading sessions.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares of either outcome—Russell 2000 up or down—and the price of each share reflects the implied probability. As more capital flows into one side, the odds shift to balance supply and demand. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to breaking news, economic data, and intraday momentum shifts.

This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, once the trading day closes and the final Russell 2000 index level is confirmed. The outcome is determined by comparing the closing price on that date to the previous session's close. If the index finishes higher, the up outcome wins; if it finishes lower, the down outcome wins. Resolution is verified against credible public financial data sources, ensuring transparency and fairness for all participants.

Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before June 16. Macroeconomic data releases—including inflation reports, employment figures, and Fed commentary—typically drive broad equity moves. Earnings announcements from major small-cap companies can also influence sentiment toward the Russell 2000. Geopolitical developments, interest rate expectations, and sector-specific news (technology, financials, energy) may trigger intraday volatility. Market-wide risk-off events or rallies can swing the odds significantly, so monitoring economic calendars and news flow is essential for traders.