TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
RTX Aerospace & Defense (RTX) Up or Down - Daily
limitless

RTX Aerospace & Defense (RTX) Up or Down - Daily

Volume:
$511,394

RTX Aerospace & Defense (RTX) Up or Down - Daily

 - Limitless

RTX Aerospace & Defense (RTX) Up or Down - Daily - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 15, 4:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

RTX Aerospace & Defense (RTX) Up or Down - Daily

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
80¢
N/A
$511,394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for RTX Aerospace & Defense (Pyth RTX/USD) on June 15, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for RTX Aerospace & Defense (Pyth RTX/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for RTX Aerospace & Defense (Pyth RTX/USD) captured on June 12, 2026, was $183.54215. Resolution source: Pyth RTX/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If RTX Aerospace & Defense (RTX) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 15, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which RTX is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting RTX during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for RTX Aerospace & Defense (Pyth RTX/USD) on June 15, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for RTX Aerospace & Defense (Pyth RTX/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for RTX Aerospace & Defense (Pyth RTX/USD) captured on June 12, 2026, was $183.54215. Resolution source: Pyth RTX/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If RTX Aerospace & Defense (RTX) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 15, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which RTX is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting RTX during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

On Limitless, the RTX daily stock price market dashboard displays real-time odds for whether RTX Aerospace & Defense stock will close up or down on any given trading day. The interface shows current probability estimates, historical price movements, and trading activity to help you monitor sentiment shifts. This market reflects trader conviction about near-term directional moves in RTX, making it useful for tracking intraday momentum and volatility expectations among prediction market participants.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they aggregate real-time trader beliefs rather than periodic research updates. While equity analysts typically issue longer-term ratings and price targets, this market captures daily sentiment and immediate supply-demand dynamics. Prediction markets tend to react faster to breaking news and earnings surprises, whereas analyst forecasts may lag by weeks or months. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing in information analysts have not yet incorporated.

On Limitless, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome—RTX up or down—with prices determined by continuous order matching. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregated positions of all active traders, with the probability displayed as a percentage. As new trades occur, prices adjust instantly, allowing you to enter or exit at the prevailing market rate. This mechanism ensures that the odds always represent the most recent consensus among participants.

This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on verified public market data. The result hinges on RTX's closing price relative to the opening price on the specified trading day. Once the market close is official and verifiable from credible financial sources, the winning outcome is determined and traders' positions are settled accordingly.

Earnings announcements, defense contract wins or losses, geopolitical developments, and broader aerospace sector news can all shift RTX sentiment sharply. Macroeconomic data—interest rate decisions, inflation reports, or stock market volatility—may also influence daily directional moves. Analyst upgrades or downgrades, insider trading disclosures, and competitor announcements can trigger rapid repricing. Intraday catalysts like Federal Reserve commentary or military spending bills can create momentum swings that traders actively price into this market.