TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:53 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Rockstar Energy's sales in August 2026 compared to the same month last year. It uses a specific index to measure changes in point-of-sale growth, reflecting consumer spending trends through captured purchase data. The outcome depends on whether the reported growth exceeds certain negative percentage thresholds.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around the Carbon Arc Rockstar Energy Point of Sale Growth index for August 2026, each with a different threshold for resolution. All markets share the same underlying data source and methodology: the index is derived from Carbon Arc’s point-of-sale receipt panel, which tracks in-store and online purchases via receipt-scanning and rewards apps, comparing them to the same period in the prior year. An index value of 100 indicates no change from the previous year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate a decline. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index for August 2026 is above its specified negative percentage threshold (-24%, -20.5%, -17%, -13.5%, or -10%). Crucially, all markets use the first value reported by Carbon Arc for settlement, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement do not affect the outcome. The markets are independent but interrelated, with varying levels of stringency in their thresholds, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of different degrees of sales performance for Rockstar Energy in August 2026.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible levels of sales growth. The current pricing reflects the collective assessment of market participants about the likelihood of each outcome. Factors influencing these prices include recent sales data, industry reports, and any news specifically affecting Rockstar Energy's retail presence during the August period.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the sales growth figure for August is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released data from Rockstar Energy or respected third-party measurement firms, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major product launches, promotional campaigns, retail partnerships, or unexpected economic changes affecting consumer spending. Additionally, industry-wide trends, competitor activity, or supply chain updates may influence trader sentiment. Any release of early sales indicators or analyst updates specifically covering Rockstar Energy’s August performance could also cause notable movement in market odds as participants reassess probabilities.