TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) on June 3, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) on June 3, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader sentiment and can be compared against consensus analyst price targets and technical forecasts for HOOD stock. While analysts typically issue longer-term ratings and price objectives, prediction markets isolate a single-day directional move, capturing concentrated near-term positioning. Divergences often emerge when markets price in intraday volatility or earnings surprises that analysts' broader outlooks may not emphasize, making side-by-side comparison useful for identifying short-term conviction shifts.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down close for HOOD on June 3. The price of each outcome share reflects the market's collective probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by holding to resolution. Polymarket's automated market maker and order book dynamics determine real-time pricing, with volume and liquidity directly influencing bid-ask spreads and execution slippage.
The market resolves at Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing HOOD's closing price on June 3 to its opening price that same trading day. If the closing price is higher than the opening price, the up outcome resolves to yes; if lower or equal, the down outcome resolves to yes. The resolution process is automated and final once official market data is confirmed, settling all trader positions accordingly.
Key catalysts for HOOD price movement on June 3 include company earnings releases, regulatory announcements affecting brokerage operations, broader market sentiment shifts, and macroeconomic data. Retail trading volume spikes, changes in commission structures, or updates on HOOD's fintech initiatives could also drive intraday volatility. Additionally, sector-wide fintech news, stock market indices performance, and unexpected geopolitical or economic events in the days leading up to June 3 may influence trader positioning and final directional outcome.