TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) on June 1, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) on June 1, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the event is priced as a binary outcome: traders buy or sell shares representing HOOD up or HOOD down, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). The current odds reflect the collective trading activity and belief of Polymarket participants. Prices move based on order flow, with buy pressure raising the up-outcome price and sell pressure raising the down-outcome price. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at any given moment.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by HOOD's closing price on June 1. The event settles based on whether the stock closes higher or lower than its opening price on that date. Resolution occurs after market close and official price data is confirmed. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The binary structure ensures a clear, verifiable outcome tied directly to observable market data.
Key catalysts include earnings announcements, regulatory developments affecting brokerage operations, macroeconomic data impacting retail trading volumes, and broader market volatility. Changes to trading commissions, new product launches, or management commentary can shift investor sentiment. Broader market movements, interest rate expectations, and sector rotation in fintech stocks may also influence HOOD's direction. Unexpected news regarding market structure, compliance issues, or competitive pressures could create sharp price swings. Traders monitor these factors to adjust positions ahead of June 1.