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Reserve Bank of India rate decision in June
kalshi

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in June

Volume:
$4,313

Maintain current rate

 - Kalshi

Maintain current rate - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 12:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Maintain current rate

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,283
N/A
N/A
$979
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cut 1-25bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,229
N/A
N/A
$1,111
Settled
No
kalshi

Hike 1-25bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,117
N/A
N/A
$714
Settled
No
kalshi

Hike more than 25bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
No
kalshi

Cut more than 25bps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
$139
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether the Reserve Bank of India will maintain its current interest rate at the June Monetary Policy Committee meeting on Kalshi. The leading outcome—that the RBI holds rates steady—carries a 71.0% probability, while a smaller hike of 1–25 basis points is priced at 18.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official RBI announcement and action taken at the June meeting. Watch the RBI's June 5, 2026 monetary policy decision for the final rate action and forward guidance.

Frequently asked questions

The Reserve Bank of India rate decision in June market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, following the RBI's official announcement of its monetary policy decision. Resolution hinges on the final rate action communicated by the Monetary Policy Committee—specifically whether the policy rate is cut by 1–25 basis points, held steady, or raised. Traders should monitor the RBI's press release and Governor's statement for the definitive outcome. The market will settle once the official decision is confirmed and verified against the contract terms.

Several catalysts could shift odds for the June RBI rate decision. Inflation data releases—particularly the Consumer Price Index and Wholesale Price Index—will signal whether price pressures persist or ease, influencing rate-cut likelihood. RBI communications, including statements from Governor Sanjay Malhotra and any interim policy signals, carry substantial weight. Global factors such as US Federal Reserve moves, oil prices, and rupee strength also matter. Domestic GDP growth revisions and credit demand trends will inform market expectations. Each data release and official comment between now and Jun 5, 2026 may trigger repricing of the cut probability.