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PPI YoY in August
kalshi

PPI YoY in August

Aug 13, 2026, 2:00 PM EST - Sep 17, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$15,584
Volume 24h:
$3,950
493%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$10,517
25%

Above 4.5%

 - Kalshi

Above 4.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 17, 2026

Time left: 07d:04h:55m

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for August 2026 be above 4.5%?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: 0% Illiquid market 7 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.5%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 4¢
4¢
N/A
$48
0%
164%
$36
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.4%

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 5¢
3¢
N/A
$53
34%
34%
$30
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.0%

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 4¢
4¢
N/A
$1,993
0%
0%
$912
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.2%

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 4¢
4¢
N/A
$261
0%
0%
$232
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.8%

Trade
97%
11%
Yes 100¢No 16¢
16¢
N/A
$240
64%
90%
$240
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.3%

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$166
0%
0%
$166
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.6%

Trade
95%
Yes 100¢No 7¢
7¢
N/A
$2
0%
0%
$2
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.7%

Trade
94%
6%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$142
34,634%
0%
$142
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.1%

Trade
93%
Yes 100¢No 4¢
4¢
N/A
$412
0%
0%
$387
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 5.3%

Trade
88%
61%
Yes 80¢No 83¢
63¢
N/A
$935
124%
0%
$517
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 4.9%

Trade
76%
1%
Yes 85¢No 24¢
9¢
N/A
$1,072
36%
52%
$463
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 5.2%

Trade
65%
23%
Yes 69¢No 57¢
26¢
N/A
$1,514
104%
0%
$773
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 5.0%

Trade
53%
18%
Yes 82¢No 36¢
18¢
N/A
$6,030
46%
58%
$4,824
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 5.1%

Trade
49%
8%
Yes 79¢No 51¢
30¢
N/A
$2,243
12%
236%
$1,322
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 5.5%

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$472
0%
0%
$472
1w 4h
active
kalshi

Above 5.4%

Trade
N/A
N/A
44¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4h
active
Total markets: 16

Description

The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. Tracking PPI year-over-year changes helps economists and businesses gauge inflation pressures at the wholesale level. This event focuses on determining whether the PPI for final demand in the United States will exceed specific thresholds in August 2026.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for the month of August 2026. Multiple markets exist with varying threshold levels, each resolving to 'Yes' if the reported PPI change exceeds its specific threshold. The thresholds range incrementally from above 4.0% to above 5.0%. All markets share the same underlying data source and measurement methodology, with resolution contingent upon the actual published PPI value for the specified period.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the August PPI YoY market shows current odds and price trends exclusively on Kalshi. It tracks how traders value inflation expectations for August producer prices year-over-year, with live updates reflecting market sentiment. You can view total volume at $15,584 and recent 24-hour volume at $4,424. This focused view helps users monitor how the market interprets upcoming economic data releases and their potential impact on inflation metrics.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, sentiment-driven view of inflation expectations. While analysts may incorporate a wider range of indicators and forward-looking assumptions, traders in this market react quickly to new data, sometimes showing more volatility or divergence from consensus estimates.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for this market based on their expectations of the August producer price index year-over-year change. The current top outcome sits at 99.0%, with price history and volume providing insight into market confidence. Trading activity reflects interpretations of recent economic indicators, Fed policy signals, and forecasts from major financial institutions, all contributing to the dynamic pricing model on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official figures are verified against credible public sources. The final determination will reflect the actual year-over-year change in the producer price index for August, as reported by the relevant government statistics agency. Traders will see the result automatically update on Kalshi shortly after the data release, settling all positions based on the verified numeric outcome.

Key signals that could shift this market include early economic indicators such as manufacturing output, commodity price trends, and central bank statements on inflation. Unexpected shifts in energy or raw material costs, as well as major geopolitical developments affecting supply chains, may also cause rapid price movements as traders adjust expectations ahead of the final data release.