TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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PPI YoY - August 2026
limitless

How will PPI change YoY in August 2026?

Volume:
$10,339

5.1%+

 - Limitless

5.1%+ - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 10:43 AM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

5.1%+

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.1¢
N/A
$1,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

4.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

≤4.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,067
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

4.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

4.5%

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

4.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

5.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

4.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

4.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

4.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Limitless

This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While economic forecasts and analyst predictions attempt to anticipate the August 2026 PPI, this market represents a collective judgment of informed traders. These traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast than polls or surveys. The current implied probability of a significant increase in the PPI, as reflected in this market, may differ from consensus estimates from economic institutions. This difference highlights the potential value of prediction markets as a forecasting tool.

This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official year-over-year percentage change in the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) as released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the month of August 2026. The specific PPI data point used for resolution will be the final, officially published figure, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market. Traders will then receive payouts based on the accuracy of their predictions.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Unexpected shifts in macroeconomic conditions, such as changes in global supply chains, energy prices, or monetary policy, could all influence expectations for the August 2026 PPI. Major economic reports released in the interim, including employment data and consumer price index (CPI) figures, will also be closely watched. Geopolitical events and unforeseen disruptions could also introduce volatility and impact the market's pricing. Any news that alters the outlook for inflation or economic growth has the potential to move this market.