TOTAL VOLUME:
$124b
24H VOL:
$82,345,145
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,121,338,658
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,285,568,173
364,467
Markets across
33,191
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,073
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
41%
VS.
Kalshi:
59%
Above 8.4 million TEUs
- Kalshi
Above 8.4 million TEUs - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Mar 7, 2027
$
The Port of New York and New Jersey is one of the busiest ports in the United States, handling millions of shipping containers each year. In 2026, market participants will assess whether the port's container volume surpasses several key thresholds, which indicates its efficiency and the health of international trade flows through the region.
If the Port Authority reports that the Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in calendar year 2026 is above 8.6 million TEUs, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Port Authority reports that the Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in calendar year 2026 is above 8.8 million TEUs, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Port Authority reports that the Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in calendar year 2026 is above 9.0 million TEUs, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Port Authority reports that the Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in calendar year 2026 is above 9.2 million TEUs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Currently, odds from this market suggest a range of outcomes that often align closely with consensus analyst forecasts, though nuances exist. Traders may price in risks or recent trends not fully reflected in traditional reports. Monitoring shifts in this market can reveal early signals of changing expectations among speculative participants.
This market resolves around Mar 7, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final container volume figure for the port will be compared against market predictions to determine which outcome matches the recorded data.
Several signals could shift this market before Mar 7, 2027. Changes in global trade patterns, infrastructure investments or disruptions at the Port of New York and New Jersey, and shifts in major shipping routes will all affect expectations. Economic policy decisions, natural disasters, or pandemic-related shipping delays may also cause rapid moves in either direction as traders reassess probabilities.