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364,467

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Port of Mobile container volume in 2026
kalshi

What will the Port of Mobile container volume be in 2026?

Aug 18, 2026, 11:30 PM EST - Feb 5, 2027, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$62,098
Volume 24h:
$29,033N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$11,702
64%

Above 425,000 TEUs

 - Kalshi

Above 425,000 TEUs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 5, 2027

Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 425,000 TEUs?

94%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 95¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 94% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 13% 148 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 425,000 TEUs

Trade
94%
Yes 95¢No 15¢
10¢
N/A
$17,423
1,742,200%
0%
$1,180
4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Above 450,000 TEUs

Trade
86%
Yes 93¢No 18¢
11¢
N/A
$11,268
0%
0%
$1,400
4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Above 475,000 TEUs

Trade
83%
Yes 98¢No 24¢
22¢
N/A
$4,254
0%
0%
$1,400
4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Above 500,000 TEUs

Trade
64%
7%
Yes 64¢No 41¢
5¢
N/A
$4,738
287%
615%
$1,081
4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Above 525,000 TEUs

Trade
41%
11%
Yes 43¢No 59¢
2¢
N/A
$5,963
144%
410%
$1,453
4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Above 575,000 TEUs

Trade
15%
6%
Yes 20¢No 84¢
4¢
N/A
$5,442
534%
1,160%
$2,309
4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Above 600,000 TEUs

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 90¢
3¢
N/A
$12,238
0%
0%
$2,529
4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Above 550,000 TEUs

Trade
11%
Yes 25¢No 76¢
1¢
N/A
$772
0%
83%
$350
4mo 4w
active
Total markets: 8

Description

The Port of Mobile is a key hub for international trade, handling vast amounts of cargo through container ships each year. Tracking its throughput in 2026 helps gauge its growth and efficiency. These markets assess whether the port will surpass specific volume thresholds, reflecting its operational scale and economic importance.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on whether the Port of Mobile's 2026 calendar-year container throughput exceeds specified thresholds measured in twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs). The underlying metric includes all loaded and empty import and export containers handled at APM Terminals Mobile, excluding container moves, tonnage, vessel capacity, or intermodal rail volume. Resolution is determined by the first published full-year 2026 total, with subsequent revisions having no impact on the outcome. Each market corresponds to a different TEU threshold, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the published throughput exceeds that threshold.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Port of Mobile container volume market tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume of $56,793. It provides a visual representation of how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the 2026 outcome, showing both current probabilities and trading activity for this market.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced assessment of expectations. While analysts may issue detailed reports based on economic indicators, traders adjust probabilities continuously based on new data, shipping trends, and global trade patterns, potentially offering a different perspective on likely outcomes.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance is represented by 94.0%, reflecting collective trader judgment, and volume of $62,098 shows overall interest and liquidity in the market.

This market resolves around Feb 5, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final container volume figure for the Port of Mobile in 2026 will be compared against the market’s defined thresholds to determine the winning position, based on authoritative trade and port authority data.

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before resolution, including major changes in global trade policies, infrastructure announcements at the Port of Mobile, shifts in shipping demand due to economic cycles, or disruptions from natural events. Any data releases from port authorities or industry groups tracking container throughput will also influence trader sentiment and pricing.