TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:18h:16m
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This event tracks the average real-time electricity prices during a specific week at the PJM Dominion Hub, a major power trading point in the eastern United States. The outcome depends on whether the calculated average price exceeds various threshold levels set for the week. These thresholds represent different tiers of price performance, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of market conditions.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM Dominion Hub for the week ending November 6, 2026. The relevant period runs from October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT to November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, including the start time but excluding the end time. Data source is PJM Data Miner 2’s verified hourly real-time total Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs), with intervals following Eastern-time start times. The calculation involves taking a simple average of all applicable hourly prices, including any negative prices, and rounding the result to two decimal places, with exact halves rounded away from zero. Any equality in the rounded average resolves to 'No' for all markets. Trading closes on November 6, 2026 at 4:59 PM EST, and the final delivery interval is included in the calculation. Only the first published applicable prices are used; later corrections are considered only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Unverified, estimated, indicative, and forecast prices are excluded. Missing data points are not filled in. If at least 95% of required intervals are available, the average is calculated using available prices. If less than 95% of intervals are available, the outcome is resolved only if the available data unequivocally establishes the result; otherwise, the market settles at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.