TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Peru Senate Election Winner
polymarket

Peru Senate Election Winner

Volume:
$104,188

FP

 - Polymarket

FP - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FP

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

JP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

RP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,098
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AvP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

APP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

PP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

PL

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Intro

This market tracks which political party will secure the most seats in Peru's next Senate election. On Polymarket, Fuerza Popular (FP) is priced at 99.5%, while Juntos por el Perú (JP) stands at 0.1%. The market will resolve based on official results from Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) and National Jury of Elections (JNE). Watch the April 12, 2026 general election results for the definitive seat count that will determine this market's outcome.

Polymarket

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

Frequently asked questions

The Peru Senate Election Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for outcomes in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election. It displays current implied probabilities, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume to help you monitor how prediction market participants are pricing the race. The dashboard aggregates key metrics including total group volume of $104,188 and recent 24-hour activity of $1,922, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment and liquidity for this political event.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling due to different information sets and incentive structures. While polls capture voter sentiment at a single moment, prediction markets incorporate trader expectations about campaign dynamics, institutional factors, and election mechanics. For the 2026 Peruvian Senate race, comparing market-implied probabilities to published polls can reveal whether traders are pricing in scenarios pollsters may not yet reflect. This gap frequently signals where informed participants see asymmetric value or risk.

The Peru Senate Election Winner market resolves on Apr 12, 2026, following the conclusion of the 2026 Peruvian Senate election. Resolution is determined by the official results announced by Peru's electoral authority regarding which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Senate. Traders should monitor official election communications and any post-election disputes or recounts that may affect the final outcome determination and market settlement.

Key catalysts for price movement include major campaign announcements, shifts in coalition alliances, polling releases showing changing voter preferences, and economic or political developments affecting party viability. Leadership changes, scandals, or policy announcements by major parties could reshape trader expectations about Senate seat distribution. International or domestic political shocks, changes in electoral rules, or shifts in regional support may also influence market pricing. Traders should monitor Peruvian political news closely as the election date approaches.