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407,365

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Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
polymarket

Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place

Volume:
$38,782

Marília Arraes

 - Polymarket

Marília Arraes - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 7:37 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Marília Arraes

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Humberto Costa

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mendonça Filho

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Eduardo da Fonte

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,950
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Túlio Gadêlha

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,740
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pastor Gilvan Costa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Samuel Timoteo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mariano Macedo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gorett Bitu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Carlos Sant'Anna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Paulo Rubem Santiago

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$490
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mailson da Silva Neto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$433
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate M

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Polymarket

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The second-place finisher will be determined by official vote tallies, and the market will close accordingly. No additional interpretation or external validation beyond widely accepted news sources and electoral authorities is required for settlement. Traders should monitor official announcements closely as the date approaches.

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before resolution, including debates, polling updates, candidate endorsements, scandals, or changes in campaign financing. Economic announcements, regional voting trends, and media coverage focusing on key issues may also influence trader sentiment. Natural disasters or logistical challenges affecting voter access could create unexpected volatility. Any event that meaningfully alters the perceived competitiveness of the race may cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket as traders reassess probabilities.