TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Pepsi Point of Sale Growth in August
kalshi

What is the growth of Pepsi Point of Sale in August?

Volume:
$20,170

Above -14%

 - Kalshi

Above -14% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 3, 10:43 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above -14%

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,325
N/A
N/A
$1,145
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above -6%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,011
N/A
N/A
$3,367
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above -10%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,118
N/A
N/A
$1,473
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2%

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,521
N/A
N/A
$2,291
Settled
No
kalshi

Above -2%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,195
N/A
N/A
$1,068
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the performance of Pepsi's point-of-sale transactions for a specific month compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the measured growth exceeds various negative or positive percentage thresholds. Data comes from a panel that collects receipt information from both physical stores and online platforms.

Kalshi

All markets in this event rely on the Carbon Arc Pepsi Point of Sale Growth index for August 2026 to determine their outcomes. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from above -14% to above 2%, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the reported index value exceeds the respective threshold. The index reflects year-over-year changes in Pepsi's point-of-sale spending, where a value of 100 indicates no change from the prior year, values above 100 show growth, and values below 100 indicate a decline. The index is calculated using data from in-store and online purchases captured through receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period of the previous year. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available. Importantly, the determination for all markets will be based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc, and any corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with or officially connected to Pepsi or Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the Pepsi sales growth market. It shows how traders are pricing the likelihood of different sales growth outcomes for Pepsi in August, with current volume at $20,170 and 24-hour volume at $13. This single-venue view updates continuously to reflect market sentiment on Kalshi.

Currently, this market suggests a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While some analysts may project steady or moderate growth based on historical trends and market conditions, traders on Kalshi are pricing in a distinct set of expectations. The gap between these views can shift as new sales data, consumer sentiment surveys, or macroeconomic indicators emerge, making this market a dynamic barometer of real-time trader sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on officially released sales figures and verified industry data, closing the market based on objective, publicly available results.

Key signals include early retail sales reports, consumer confidence updates, and any major marketing announcements from Pepsi. Economic shifts, like changes in consumer spending or commodity prices, could also influence trader sentiment. As Sep 14, 2026 approaches, any surprise data releases or industry news will likely cause rapid price adjustments in this market.