TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
D.C. Reeves
- Kalshi
D.C. Reeves - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Aug 22, 3:37 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Ann Hill will win the 2026 Pensacola mayoral election. On Kalshi, Ann Hill's chances stand at 49.5%, with the alternative outcome also at 49.5%, indicating a highly competitive race. The market resolves based on official election results from the City of Pensacola. Watch for candidate announcements and campaign developments leading up to the August 18, 2026 election date, which will shape voter preferences and potentially shift the competitive dynamics between Hill and other contenders.
Kalshi
If D.C. Reeves wins the 2026 Pensacola, Florida mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alicia Trawick wins the 2026 Pensacola, Florida mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jermaine Williams wins the 2026 Pensacola, Florida mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ann Hill wins the 2026 Pensacola, Florida mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jasmine Brown wins the 2026 Pensacola, Florida mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling because they reflect real-money incentives—traders profit by accurately forecasting outcomes, creating a different signal than survey-based polls. While polls measure voter sentiment at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate information continuously and incorporate breaking news, campaign developments, and insider knowledge. For the Pensacola mayoral race, comparing Kalshi odds to published polls can reveal whether the market is more bullish or bearish on a candidate than recent surveys suggest. This gap sometimes indicates where informed traders see value or risk that pollsters may have missed.
The Pensacola Mayoral Election market is scheduled to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is determined by the official results of the 2026 Pensacola mayoral election as certified by Escambia County and the City of Pensacola. The candidate who receives the most votes and wins the election will be declared the winner, and all shares for that outcome will be paid out at full value. Markets typically resolve within days of the election once official results are confirmed and any mandatory recounts or legal challenges are concluded. Traders should monitor official election authority announcements for the final certified outcome.
Several catalysts could shift odds for the Pensacola mayoral race. Major endorsements from city council members, business leaders, or state officials often move prices as they signal momentum. Debate performances, campaign finance disclosures, and local media coverage of candidate positions on infrastructure, public safety, or economic development can reshape trader expectations. Voter registration surges in particular neighborhoods may indicate turnout shifts. Scandals, gaffes, or investigative reporting could damage a candidate's standing. Local ballot initiatives or state-level political developments affecting Pensacola may also influence the race. Real-time tracking of these events on Kalshi helps traders adjust positions before the market fully prices in new information.
