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Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/27 - 8/2)
kalshi

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/27 - 8/2)

Volume:
$16,958

July 29

 - Kalshi

July 29 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 9:00 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

July 29

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
100¢
N/A
$3,299
N/A
N/A
$1,798
Settled
No
kalshi

July 31

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
100¢
N/A
$2,963
N/A
N/A
$2,393
Settled
No
kalshi

August 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,123
N/A
N/A
$1,164
Settled
No
kalshi

July 28

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,378
N/A
N/A
$1,686
Settled
No
kalshi

August 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,246
N/A
N/A
$1,765
Settled
No
kalshi

July 30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,711
N/A
N/A
$1,235
Settled
No
kalshi

July 27

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,238
N/A
N/A
$764
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

Determining which specific day within a week had the highest ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz can reflect temporary surges or lulls in maritime activity. Such variations might result from weather conditions, regional events, or changes in global shipping schedules. Identifying the peak day provides a snapshot of weekly patterns in one of the world’s most critical maritime passages.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified date (July 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, August 1, or August 2, 2026) has the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by IMF PortWatch from July 27 to August 2, 2026. Daily counts are evaluated after the period ends, with resolution no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period. If multiple days tie for the highest count, each tied day’s market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The day with the most recorded transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified period will determine the result, based on authoritative maritime and news sources.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including geopolitical developments in the region, unexpected naval activity, or changes in global oil shipping patterns. Reports from maritime authorities, shipping companies, or international news outlets may also influence trader sentiment and adjust odds as the July 27 to August 2 window approaches.