TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of the Peacock TV streaming app's download numbers for August 2026, comparing them to the same month in the previous year. The focus is on whether the year-over-year growth in downloads exceeds specific thresholds, indicating varying levels of success or expansion for the platform during that period.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Peacock TV app downloads in August 2026 against year-over-year growth metrics provided by Carbon Arc. Each market corresponds to a specific growth threshold (104, 108, 112, 116, or 121), where exceeding the threshold results in a 'Yes' outcome. All markets rely on the first reported value from Carbon Arc for resolution, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded once the market is settled. The index used measures growth relative to the same month in the prior year, with values above 100 indicating growth and below 100 indicating decline. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with Peacock or any associated entities, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on official download tallies for August, ensuring an objective close. Keep an eye out for any last-minute updates as the resolution date approaches, but the market will settle based on verified numbers.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major marketing campaigns, celebrity endorsements, or news coverage for the Peacock app can drive downloads and change trader sentiment. Technical issues or platform updates may also impact user adoption. Additionally, competitor activity — like new releases or price changes — might draw users away, creating volatility. Stay alert to media reports and app-store rankings to anticipate moves in this market.