TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Paramount+ app downloads for August 2026, comparing them to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the reported growth exceeds specific thresholds, with higher thresholds representing greater year-over-year increases.
The event evaluates whether the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads index for August 2026 exceeds one of several predefined thresholds (85, 88, 92, 95, 99, or 104). The index measures year-over-year changes, where a value of 100 indicates no change from the prior year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index for August 2026 is above its respective threshold. The determination is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions do not affect the outcome. The event emphasizes independence from the underlying company, with all trademarks and brand names belonging to their respective owners.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. Analysts may incorporate broader trends and longer-term projections, while traders on Kalshi respond quickly to news, promotional activity, and competitor moves. The difference between these two can highlight where public betting sentiment diverges from expert opinion, offering a useful contrast for watchers.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on official download tallies from recognized sources, closing the market based on the actual August performance of the Paramount+ app.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes — major marketing campaigns, celebrity endorsements, or surprise content drops from Paramount+ may drive download spikes. Competing service updates or platform-specific issues like app store changes could also impact expectations. Traders will watch these developments closely, as any news shaping user interest in August downloads can quickly alter odds on Kalshi.