TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 5:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Palantir Technologies will report more than 1060 total customers during the second quarter of 2026, a key metric of enterprise customer acquisition for the data analytics firm. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 84.0%. Resolution will be determined by Palantir's official Q2 2026 earnings report and customer count disclosure. Watch for the company's quarterly earnings announcement on or around September 2, 2026, which will provide the definitive customer total needed to settle this market.
Resolution is determined by Palantir Technologies Inc.'s reported total customer count in Q2 2026. The event features multiple thresholds ranging from 1040 to 1100 customers. Each threshold operates independently: if the reported customer count exceeds a given threshold, that corresponding outcome resolves to Yes. The official company earnings report or investor disclosure for Q2 2026 serves as the authoritative source for customer figures.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Palantir's Q2 customer count, while analyst forecasts typically rely on equity research reports and historical guidance. Markets price in forward-looking sentiment and incorporate new information continuously, whereas analyst estimates are often published quarterly or updated on earnings cycles. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd expects Palantir to exceed or fall short of professional consensus on customer acquisition for the period.
The market resolves on Sep 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by Palantir's official Q2 2026 earnings report and the total customer count disclosed in that filing or earnings call. The outcome hinges on whether the reported figure exceeds 1040 customers. Traders should monitor Palantir's quarterly filings, investor presentations, and management commentary for clarity on how the company defines and counts total customers to anticipate the resolution.
Key catalysts include Palantir's quarterly earnings announcements, customer wins or losses disclosed in press releases, management guidance on customer growth, macroeconomic conditions affecting enterprise software spending, and competitive dynamics in data analytics. Analyst upgrades or downgrades, changes in Palantir's go-to-market strategy, and major contract announcements can shift trader expectations about Q2 customer totals. Additionally, any forward guidance from management or commentary on customer retention and net new additions will influence market pricing into the resolution date.