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Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12?
polymarket

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12?

Volume:
$5,028

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12?

 - Polymarket

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? - Polymarket

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Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST

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Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12?

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
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$5,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on June 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on June 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on June 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on June 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Palantir stock price movement market dashboard tracks real-time odds on whether PLTR will close higher or lower on June 12. The interface displays current implied probabilities, historical price charts, and trading activity for this market. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the price of each share reflecting the collective forecast of market participants. This dashboard gives you a live snapshot of how the prediction community is pricing the directional move in Palantir stock ahead of the specified date.

Prediction markets and traditional analyst forecasts operate through different mechanisms. Analysts typically issue price targets and ratings based on fundamental research and models, while this market aggregates real-money bets from traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. Prediction market odds often incorporate information faster than consensus analyst views, since traders have direct financial incentive to update their positions. Comparing the implied probability here to Wall Street sentiment can reveal where the crowd disagrees with official guidance or where new information has shifted expectations.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome—either PLTR Up or PLTR Down on June 12—and the price of each share at any moment reflects the probability implied by recent trades. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. This continuous price discovery mechanism means the market adjusts instantly to new information, earnings announcements, or shifts in trader sentiment about Palantir's near-term direction.

This market resolves around Jun 12, 2026, once the trading day closes and Palantir's final stock price is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing PLTR's closing price on that date to its opening price; if it closes higher, the Up outcome wins, and if it closes lower or flat, the Down outcome wins. Resolution typically occurs within hours of market close, after official price data is confirmed. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout automatically once the outcome is finalized.

Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before June 12. Earnings announcements, guidance revisions, or major contract wins would likely drive immediate repricing. Broader market movements—particularly in tech stocks or defense-sector sentiment—often correlate with PLTR moves. Macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve communications, or geopolitical developments affecting government spending could also influence trader positioning. Insider transactions, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and changes in short interest are additional signals traders monitor. Any unexpected news about Palantir's business, competitive landscape, or valuation multiples may trigger rapid adjustments to the implied probability.