TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 4:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Palantir (Pyth PLTR/USD) on June 29, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Palantir (Pyth PLTR/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Palantir (Pyth PLTR/USD) captured on June 26, 2026, was $113.01300. Resolution source: Pyth PLTR/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Palantir (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 29, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which PLTR is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting PLTR during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Palantir (Pyth PLTR/USD) on June 29, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Palantir (Pyth PLTR/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Palantir (Pyth PLTR/USD) captured on June 26, 2026, was $113.01300. Resolution source: Pyth PLTR/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Palantir (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 29, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which PLTR is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting PLTR during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than consensus estimates. While equity analysts publish longer-term valuations and ratings, this market captures shorter-term directional sentiment on daily moves. Traders betting real capital tend to incorporate breaking news, technical levels, and intraday momentum faster than formal research updates. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish near-term momentum than the research community expects.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds in real time as traders buy and sell shares of each outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing either an up or down close, and the platform's pricing algorithm balances supply and demand to set the probability for each side. The more capital flowing into one outcome, the higher its odds climb, creating a dynamic price discovery mechanism that reflects evolving market sentiment throughout the trading day.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether Palantir's closing price on the specified date is higher or lower than the previous trading day's close. Once the market close data is published and verified, the outcome becomes final and traders' positions settle according to which side correctly predicted the direction of that day's price movement.
Earnings announcements, product launches, major contract wins, or regulatory developments involving Palantir can trigger sharp shifts in this market's odds. Broader equity market moves, sector rotation, and macroeconomic data releases also influence intraday momentum. Technical levels and options expiration activity may create predictable support or resistance. News about government spending, AI adoption, or competitive threats can reshape trader expectations about the day's directional bias. Real-time social media sentiment and pre-market futures moves often signal early directional conviction before the cash market opens.