TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 15, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks where Palantir stock will close on the final trading day of the week spanning May 11–15, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—that PLTR closes between $132 and $134—stands at 99.5%, while a close between $134 and $136 carries 0.5% probability. Resolution will be determined by the official closing price reported on Yahoo Finance. Watch the market's movement through May 15, 2026, as that date will trigger final settlement based on PLTR's actual closing price for the week.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on PLTR's weekly close, which often diverges from traditional analyst price targets. While Wall Street analysts publish quarterly earnings estimates and 12-month outlooks, prediction markets concentrate on a specific event: PLTR's closing price during the week of May 11–15. Traders on Polymarket incorporate recent earnings, macroeconomic data, and intraday momentum into their odds in near real-time, whereas analyst forecasts update less frequently. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish sentiment than the consensus of published research.
The market resolves at May 15, 2026, immediately after the close of trading on May 15, 2026. The outcome is determined by PLTR's official closing price on that final trading day of the week. Once the market close is official, the resolution price is locked in and the winning outcome bracket is confirmed. Traders holding shares in the correct price range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is objective and based solely on publicly available stock exchange data, ensuring no ambiguity in settlement.
PLTR's closing price during the week of May 11–15 could be influenced by quarterly earnings announcements, government contract wins or losses, changes in AI adoption trends, and broader tech sector momentum. Macroeconomic events—Federal Reserve policy shifts, inflation data, or geopolitical developments—often move defense and software stocks in tandem. Insider trading activity, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and short-squeeze dynamics can also create sharp intraweek swings. Real-time news flow, options expiration activity, and institutional rebalancing near month-end may amplify volatility. Traders on Polymarket continuously reprice odds as these catalysts emerge, so monitoring news and technical levels helps anticipate market moves.