TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Palantir (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Palantir (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Palantir (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Palantir (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous updating. Traders in this market are betting directly on PLTR's closing price, which forces them to incorporate all available information—earnings reports, macroeconomic shifts, and sector trends—into their positions. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, are typically updated quarterly and may lag behind market-moving events. When this market shows strong conviction around a particular price range, it often signals that informed traders see catalysts or risks that analysts have not yet fully priced in. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus may be underestimating volatility or where consensus is overconfident.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the final closing price for PLTR during the week of June 22–26 is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by where Palantir's stock closes on the last trading day of that week. Traders who correctly predicted the price range will receive their winnings, while those on the wrong side of the trade will forfeit their stake. Resolution is automatic once the closing price is confirmed, ensuring all participants receive payouts without delay. The specificity of the price threshold makes this market ideal for traders seeking precise exposure to PLTR's near-term performance.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before the market closes. Earnings announcements, guidance revisions, or major contract wins would likely drive PLTR higher or lower depending on investor reaction. Broader market movements—interest rate decisions, tech sector rotation, or macroeconomic data—can also influence the stock's trajectory. Insider trading activity, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and geopolitical developments affecting Palantir's government and commercial segments are all potential triggers. Additionally, short-term technical factors such as options expiration or index rebalancing could create volatility. Monitoring financial news and Palantir's official communications throughout the week will help you stay ahead of probability shifts in this market.