TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Palantir (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Palantir (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Palantir (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Palantir (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from traders who profit only if their forecast proves correct, creating a financial incentive for accuracy. This differs from traditional analyst price targets, which may reflect longer time horizons or institutional biases. By comparing the implied probability in this market to published equity research and consensus estimates, you can identify where the crowd's near-term view diverges from Wall Street guidance on Palantir's near-term direction.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each price bracket represents a discrete outcome, and the cost to buy a share reflects the market's probability estimate for that range. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any point before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once the closing price for Palantir during the specified week is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by where PLTR's official closing price falls on that date, matched against the predefined price brackets offered in this market. Resolution is final once the data is confirmed and the winning outcome is locked in.
Palantir's stock price can shift on earnings announcements, guidance revisions, major contract wins or losses, macroeconomic data affecting tech valuations, and broader market sentiment toward defense and data analytics firms. Regulatory developments, insider trading activity, and analyst upgrades or downgrades may also influence trader positioning. Monitoring financial news, SEC filings, and company press releases in the days leading up to the close can help you anticipate moves in this market.