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$134.1b

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

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Owners' equivalent rent for August 2026
kalshi

What will the owners' equivalent rent be for August 2026?

Volume:
$943

Above 443.3

 - Kalshi

Above 443.3 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 8:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 443.3

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 443.2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 443.7

View
0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 443.8

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 443.9

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 444.2

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 444.1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 443.4

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 443.5

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 443.6

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 444.0

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 444.3

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 444.4

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 444.5

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 444.6

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks future expectations of housing cost inflation by monitoring a specific consumer price index component related to owner-occupied residences. Participants assess whether official government data will indicate a particular level of price pressure in the housing market during a specified month. The outcome depends solely on the initial official report, ignoring any later adjustments.

Kalshi

All markets in this event series depend on the same underlying data source: the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for Owners' Equivalent Rent (CPI-U series CUUR0000SEHC), specifically the U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, for August 2026. Each market has a unique threshold value (ranging from 443.2 to 444.6), and resolves to 'Yes' only if the index level in the first official release for that month exceeds its respective threshold. No market considers month-over-month or year-over-year percentage changes, and subsequent data revisions after the initial release are irrelevant for resolution purposes. The structure creates a spectrum of outcome likelihoods based on varying threshold levels.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the owners' equivalent rent market. It shows how traders price expectations for future rent values, with updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity. The interface displays current chance percentages and volume of $943 and $605, giving users insight into market dynamics as they unfold.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may publish their projections based on economic models and historical trends, traders in this market set prices based on their collective view of future conditions. The gap between these two can highlight areas of optimism or concern not fully captured by standard reports.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine pricing through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their best estimate of likely outcomes. The top outcome’s current chance percentage shows what the market thinks is most probable, with volume of $943 indicating liquidity and interest. Prices adjust dynamically as new information emerges, allowing participants to hedge or speculate on future rent trends.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official statistics are published and verified against credible public sources. The final value will reflect the measured economic data for that period, closing all positions based on the reported figure.

Several signals could shift expectations before Sep 18, 2026. Government reports on housing costs, changes in interest rates, or shifts in employment data often influence trader sentiment. Natural disasters, supply chain disruptions, or policy announcements may also create volatility. As these events unfold, the market will react, potentially widening or narrowing the spread between possible outcomes.