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Closed: Sep 24, 7:57 AM EST
Polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set prices through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers agree on odds. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of participants about which party will win, adjusted for liquidity and recent trades. Volume of $16,428 and 24-hour volume of $2,128 show how actively this market is being traded, with price shifts often following news or polling updates.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of seats won by each party will determine the winning outcome, and the market will close immediately after official results are announced and widely reported by authoritative news sources.
Key events such as major party debates, shifts in voter turnout expectations, endorsements from influential figures, or controversies involving leading candidates could move this market. Economic announcements, regional polling updates, and campaign spending reports may also cause price swings. Any surprise changes in candidate viability or coalition negotiations ahead of the vote can dramatically reshape market expectations.