TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
OpenRouter token usage in Sep 21–27
kalshi

What will OpenRouter token usage be?

Volume:
$90,535

Above 132T tokens

 - Kalshi

Above 132T tokens - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 132T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,766
N/A
N/A
$4,759
5d 11h 29m
Yes
kalshi

Above 134T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,546
N/A
N/A
$3,680
5d 11h 29m
Yes
kalshi

Above 144T tokens

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,187
N/A
N/A
$2,972
5d 11h 29m
Yes
kalshi

Above 128T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,951
N/A
N/A
$3,632
5d 11h 29m
Yes
kalshi

Above 136T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,699
N/A
N/A
$3,478
5d 11h 29m
Yes
kalshi

Above 140T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,616
N/A
N/A
$3,603
5d 11h 29m
Yes
kalshi

Above 130T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,223
N/A
N/A
$3,223
5d 11h 29m
Yes
kalshi

Above 124T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,001
N/A
N/A
$2,867
5d 11h 29m
Yes
kalshi

Above 142T tokens

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,783
N/A
N/A
$2,363
5d 11h 29m
Yes
kalshi

Above 138T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,725
N/A
N/A
$2,659
5d 11h 29m
Yes
kalshi

Above 126T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,573
N/A
N/A
$1,568
5d 11h 29m
Yes
kalshi

Above 156T tokens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,224
N/A
N/A
$3,460
5d 11h 29m
No
kalshi

Above 162T tokens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,136
N/A
N/A
$2,834
5d 11h 29m
No
kalshi

Above 152T tokens

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,486
N/A
N/A
$2,810
5d 11h 29m
No
kalshi

Above 158T tokens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,936
N/A
N/A
$4,622
5d 11h 29m
No
kalshi

Above 154T tokens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,623
N/A
N/A
$2,335
5d 11h 29m
No
kalshi

Above 150T tokens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,223
N/A
N/A
$2,747
5d 11h 29m
No
kalshi

Above 160T tokens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,979
N/A
N/A
$2,360
5d 11h 29m
No
kalshi

Above 164T tokens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,820
N/A
N/A
$2,808
5d 11h 29m
No
kalshi

Above 148T tokens

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,279
N/A
N/A
$3,033
5d 11h 29m
No
kalshi

Above 146T tokens

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,759
N/A
N/A
$1,137
5d 11h 29m
No
Total markets: 21

Description

The event tracks OpenRouter's token usage over a specific week in 2026, focusing exclusively on data from their AI Model Rankings. It provides a snapshot of AI interaction volumes through token counts, excluding broader industry-wide usage metrics.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on OpenRouter's total token usage during the seven UTC calendar days from September 21 to 27, 2026, measured at 10:00 AM ET on September 28, 2026. Token usage refers strictly to data reported in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings and does not include total AI token usage across all providers or platforms. Each market has a unique threshold (e.g., above 124T, 126T, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the observed usage exceeds that threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with OpenRouter, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the OpenRouter token usage market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how traders are pricing the likelihood of different total token usage amounts for the period of September 21–27, 2026. The current 24-hour volume is $12,696, and the total volume traded to date is $90,535. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment and activity surrounding predictions for OpenRouter's token consumption during that specific week.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the probabilities implied by this market to specific analyst forecasts for OpenRouter token usage. However, a general comparison can be made to broader expectations within the cryptocurrency and Web3 space regarding the growth of decentralized services and the demand for interoperability solutions like OpenRouter. If analysts predict significant adoption of OpenRouter's services, we might expect to see higher probabilities assigned to higher token usage outcomes in this market, and vice versa. It's important to remember that prediction markets reflect a collective intelligence, while analyst forecasts represent individual opinions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total OpenRouter token usage. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own research, analysis, and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will be, and the lower the implied probability.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total OpenRouter token usage for the period of September 21–27, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on data publicly available from OpenRouter’s official sources, detailing the total number of tokens consumed during that week. The market will then pay out to contract holders based on whether their predicted outcome range aligns with the actual reported token usage figure.

Several factors could significantly influence the price movement of this market. Major announcements regarding OpenRouter’s partnerships, integrations with other protocols, or the launch of new features could all impact expectations for token usage. Broader trends in the cryptocurrency market, such as overall adoption rates of decentralized applications or changes in gas fees on Ethereum, could also play a role. Additionally, any news related to the security or scalability of OpenRouter’s platform could affect trader sentiment and, consequently, the prices within this market.