TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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OpenRouter token usage week of November 2?
kalshi
polymarket

OpenRouter token usage week of November 2?

Total volume:
$10,889
Volume 24h:
$674
82%
Liquidity:
$4,985
18%
Open interest:
$2,070N/A

195-205T

 - Polymarket

195-205T - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 16, 2026

Time left: 06d:06h:13m

Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?

38%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 39¢ buys you 256 shares | Odds: 38% Total Payout: $256 | Net Profit: $156 Multiplier: 2.56x | ROI: 156% APY not meaningful 6 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

195-205T

Trade
38%
13%
Yes 39¢No 63¢
2¢
$1,693
$5,025
8%
N/A
N/A
6d 6h 13m
Active
polymarket

205T+

Trade
36%
6%
Yes 47¢No 76¢
23¢
$612
$2,284
5%
N/A
N/A
6d 6h 13m
Active
kalshi

Above 205T tokens

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 7h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
35.5%
Yes 47¢No 76¢
Avg: 61¢Max: 99¢
polymarket

185-195T

Trade
17%
2%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
$1,205
$2,156
5%
N/A
N/A
6d 6h 13m
Active
polymarket

175-185T

Trade
12%
10%
Yes 24.5¢No 99.7¢
24.2¢
$748
$487
4%
N/A
N/A
6d 6h 13m
Active
polymarket

<175T

Trade
9%
7%
Yes 17.1¢No 99.4¢
16.5¢
$726
$938
8%
N/A
N/A
6d 6h 13m
Active
kalshi

Above 189T tokens

Trade
N/A
N/A
97¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 196T tokens

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 200T tokens

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 203T tokens

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 207T tokens

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 210T tokens

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 214T tokens

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 223T tokens

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 7h
Active
Total markets: 14

Description

These markets ask forecasters to predict the total amount of tokens processed on the OpenRouter platform during the week of November 2nd, 2026. The markets offer a range of possible outcomes, from less than 175T tokens to 205T or more.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Different platforms employ different resolution thresholds for determining 'Yes' outcomes, creating a divergence in potential market resolutions.Hero tip: Traders should carefully analyze the specific thresholds on each platform and adjust their positions accordingly. A value that resolves 'Yes' on Kalshi might resolve 'No' on Polymarket, and vice-versa.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket markets resolve based on whether the total token usage falls *within* pre-defined ranges. Boundary conditions resolve to the higher bracket. Key Quote: "If the displayed total falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket."
  • Kalshi: Kalshi markets resolve based on whether the total token usage is *above* a specific threshold. Key Quote: "If the OpenRouter token usage for Nov 2–8, 2026 is above 189T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total number of tokens processed on OpenRouter for the week of November 2 to November 8, 2026. The total number of tokens is the weekly total displayed in the Top Models chart on OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings page (https://openrouter.ai/rankings#top-models). OpenRouter's weeks run from 12:00 AM UTC on Monday to 11:59 PM UTC on Sunday, and a week's figures continue to update until the following week's figures are first displayed. This market will resolve according to the total displayed for the week of November 2 to November 8, 2026 once the figures for the week of November 9, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of November 9, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 13, 2026, this market will resolve according to the total displayed for the week of November 2 to November 8, 2026 at that time. This market will resolve based on the total as displayed on the chart, including any rounding applied by OpenRouter. If the displayed total falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on OpenRouter's reported token usage for the seven UTC calendar days from November 2 to November 8, 2026, measured at 10:00 AM ET on November 9, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold: if the observed token usage exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 189T to 223T tokens), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The term “token usage” refers exclusively to data included in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings and does not account for total AI token usage across all providers or platforms. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with OpenRouter, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.