TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Science and Technology
OpenRouter token usage in Sep 28–Oct 4
kalshi

What will OpenRouter token usage be?

Volume:
$61,036

Above 144T tokens

 - Kalshi

Above 144T tokens - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 144T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,366
N/A
N/A
$7,366
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 142T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,715
N/A
N/A
$5,715
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 162T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,012
N/A
N/A
$2,743
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,564
N/A
N/A
$2,579
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 158T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,072
N/A
N/A
$3,043
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 154T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,976
N/A
N/A
$2,709
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 164T tokens

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,793
N/A
N/A
$3,435
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 152T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,582
N/A
N/A
$2,195
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 146T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,215
N/A
N/A
$3,215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 160T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,470
N/A
N/A
$2,470
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 148T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,066
N/A
N/A
$2,066
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 150T tokens

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,720
N/A
N/A
$1,720
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 166T tokens

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,285
N/A
N/A
$4,176
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 170T tokens

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,876
N/A
N/A
$3,376
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 168T tokens

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,324
N/A
N/A
$3,304
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks the projected usage of a specific AI platform during a defined week in 2026. The outcome depends on whether the platform's usage exceeds various high thresholds, reflecting expectations about future demand and technological trends.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on OpenRouter's total token usage during the seven UTC calendar days from September 28 to October 4, 2026, measured at 10:00 AM ET on October 5, 2026. Token usage refers exclusively to data included in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings and does not account for total AI token usage across all providers or platforms. The markets resolve to 'Yes' if the observed usage exceeds the specified threshold for each respective market (ranging from 142T to 170T tokens). Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with OpenRouter, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the OpenRouter token usage market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $25,361 and the total volume is $61,036. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their beliefs about the total OpenRouter token usage during the specified period, and these beliefs are reflected in the evolving prices displayed on the dashboard. This allows participants to monitor market sentiment and activity related to this specific event.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially incorporating a wider range of information than individual analysts consider. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. If analysts predict a significantly different outcome than what is priced into this market, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders, or highlight differing perspectives on the likelihood of various scenarios.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, constantly refining the market’s assessment of the future. The current price indicates the market’s expectation for the total OpenRouter token usage during the specified timeframe.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total OpenRouter token usage during the period of September 28th to October 4th. The specific data source used to determine the final token usage will be publicly available at the time of resolution. Participants should review the market details on Kalshi for the most up-to-date information regarding the resolution process.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements regarding OpenRouter’s partnerships, integrations, or technological developments could shift expectations. Unexpected changes in the broader cryptocurrency market, or increased regulatory scrutiny, might also influence trading activity. Furthermore, news related to the adoption rate of OpenRouter by developers or users could drive price movements. Any substantial shift in sentiment surrounding the platform’s utility or future prospects is likely to be reflected in the price of contracts within this market.