TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11
kalshi

What will OpenRouter token usage be?

Volume:
$138,010

Above 170 T tokens

 - Kalshi

Above 170 T tokens - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 170 T tokens

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,264
N/A
N/A
$10,280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 162 T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,382
N/A
N/A
$9,009
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 164 T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,160
N/A
N/A
$8,041
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 168 T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,802
N/A
N/A
$5,901
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 166 T tokens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,606
N/A
N/A
$6,081
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 172 T tokens

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,479
N/A
N/A
$9,804
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 188 T tokens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,385
N/A
N/A
$9,756
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 182 T tokens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,376
N/A
N/A
$6,741
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 176 T tokens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,089
N/A
N/A
$5,219
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 186 T tokens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,336
N/A
N/A
$6,736
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 178 T tokens

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,933
N/A
N/A
$4,396
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 180 T tokens

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,743
N/A
N/A
$4,047
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 174 T tokens

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,772
N/A
N/A
$3,060
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 184 T tokens

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,683
N/A
N/A
$4,462
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

The event tracks OpenRouter's token usage during a specific week in 2026, focusing exclusively on data from their AI Model Rankings. It provides a way to speculate on whether usage will surpass various thresholds, reflecting potential growth in AI-driven interactions.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether OpenRouter's token usage during the seven UTC calendar days from October 5 to 11, 2026, exceeds a specific threshold, ranging from 162 T tokens to 188 T tokens. Resolution occurs at 10:00 AM ET on October 12, 2026, based solely on the token usage figures published in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings for that period. These figures do not account for total AI token usage across all providers or platforms. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with OpenRouter, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The markets collectively allow participants to assess varying levels of anticipated token usage growth within a defined timeframe.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the OpenRouter token usage market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $40,215, and the total volume traded to date is $138,010. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their beliefs about the total OpenRouter token usage during the specified period, and the dashboard visualizes these predictions in real-time. This allows participants to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to this specific market.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. In this case, the market’s implied probability reflects the aggregated views of many traders, potentially capturing a wider range of information and perspectives than a single analyst’s prediction. If analysts predict a significantly different outcome than what is priced into this market, it could indicate a disagreement about key assumptions or an overlooked factor influencing OpenRouter token usage. Discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of future price movements. This dynamic process ensures that the market price efficiently incorporates available information about OpenRouter token usage, creating a real-time forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total OpenRouter token usage during the specified timeframe, as reported by a trusted source. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual outcome. It's important to monitor news and developments related to OpenRouter during this period, as these factors could influence the final result of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Major announcements regarding OpenRouter’s partnerships, integrations, or upgrades could impact token usage. Changes in the broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, particularly regarding Layer 2 scaling solutions, could also play a role. Unexpected network congestion or security incidents affecting OpenRouter could negatively influence usage. Furthermore, any news related to competing routing protocols or shifts in developer activity within the OpenRouter ecosystem could cause shifts in the market’s price.