TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the volume of AI tokens processed through OpenRouter during a specific month. The measurement focuses solely on token usage reported within OpenRouter's own AI Model Rankings, excluding other platforms or providers. Outcomes depend on whether usage surpasses various high thresholds by a set date.
All markets resolve based on OpenRouter's reported AI token usage for the period from August 31 to September 27, 2026, observed at 10:00 AM ET on September 28, 2026. Token usage refers exclusively to data included in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings and does not account for total AI token usage across all providers or platforms. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 300T to 800T tokens); if the measured usage exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with OpenRouter, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Analyst forecasts for the OpenRouter AI token usage market often reflect long-term growth trends and infrastructure adoption. In contrast, this market captures real-time trader sentiment and short-term volatility. While analysts may emphasize macroeconomic factors and user base expansion, traders in this market respond quickly to news, platform updates, and usage spikes. The difference provides a useful comparison between strategic projections and immediate market dynamics.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on official OpenRouter data releases for September token usage, closing the market once the numbers are publicly available.
Several signals could shift this market before Oct 5, 2026. Major announcements about new integrations, pricing changes, or feature releases may drive usage higher. Conversely, technical outages or policy shifts limiting API access could suppress activity. Additionally, broader trends in AI adoption and competing platforms' performance may influence trader sentiment and volume in the coming months.