TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on June 8, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on June 8, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on OPEN's direction, while analyst forecasts typically rely on fundamental research, technical analysis, and earnings models. Market odds tend to incorporate broader sentiment and short-term momentum, whereas analyst ratings often focus on longer-term valuation and company fundamentals. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing in near-term catalysts that analysts may not yet emphasize, or conversely, whether professional research suggests a different outcome than current trader positioning.
The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing Opendoor's closing stock price on that date to its opening price. If the closing price is higher than the opening price, the Up outcome wins; if lower, the Down outcome wins. Traders should monitor official market data sources to confirm the final settlement price, as this directly determines which side receives the payout.
Key catalysts include Opendoor's earnings announcements, quarterly revenue or guidance updates, and broader real estate market trends affecting home sales and valuations. Macroeconomic data on interest rates, housing starts, and consumer confidence can shift sentiment around residential real estate stocks. Company-specific news such as executive changes, strategic partnerships, or regulatory developments may also influence trader positioning. Technical levels and market-wide equity volatility closer to June 8 could create momentum shifts, so monitoring financial news and Opendoor's official communications is essential for informed trading.