TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on June 15, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on June 15, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on June 15, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on June 15, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
Prediction market odds and traditional analyst forecasts operate on different timescales and methodologies. Analysts typically publish longer-term price targets and earnings estimates, while this market focuses on a single day's directional move. Prediction markets aggregate real-time trader conviction through financial incentives, whereas analyst reports reflect research teams' fundamental analysis. For short-term stock direction, prediction markets often incorporate breaking news and intraday sentiment faster than formal analyst updates. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing in factors analysts may have overlooked or underweighted.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares representing each outcome: OPEN Up or OPEN Down on June 15. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects its implied probability, with the two outcomes summing to 100 percent. Liquidity and order flow determine how easily you can enter or exit positions. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, causing the odds to move in real time. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest available information about Opendoor's expected direction.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once the trading day closes and Opendoor's final stock price is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing OPEN's closing price on June 15 to its opening price that same day. If the stock finishes higher, the Up outcome wins; if it finishes lower, the Down outcome wins. Resolution typically occurs within hours of market close, allowing traders to see results quickly. The straightforward binary structure makes this an ideal vehicle for expressing conviction on near-term stock direction.
Several catalysts could shift odds in this market before June 15. Company-specific news—earnings surprises, executive changes, or strategic announcements—often triggers sharp directional moves. Broader market events, such as interest rate decisions, economic data releases, or sector rotation, can influence real estate tech stocks like Opendoor. Insider trading disclosures or analyst upgrades and downgrades may also sway trader sentiment. Intraday volatility on June 15 itself, driven by market-wide momentum or breaking news, could create last-minute swings. Monitoring financial news and Opendoor's social media for unexpected developments helps traders stay ahead of potential price shifts.