TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
OpenAI share of spend on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

OpenAI share of spend on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$18,365

Above 18%

 - Kalshi

Above 18% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 18%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,740
N/A
N/A
$2,540
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 21%

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,026
N/A
N/A
$2,025
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 20%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,296
N/A
N/A
$1,096
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 23%

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 25%

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,578
N/A
N/A
$5,567
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 30%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,898
N/A
N/A
$1,898
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 26%

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,897
N/A
N/A
$1,897
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 24%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,792
N/A
N/A
$1,792
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 28%

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,113
N/A
N/A
$1,113
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI development resources allocated to OpenAI through Vercel by leading research institutions on a specific date. It reflects potential trends in how dominant AI projects attract computational investment within the research community. The outcome depends on whether OpenAI's share surpasses various thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for September 26, 2026. The share is measured and rounded to one decimal place. Resolution occurs at 10:00 AM ET on September 27, 2026, using the updated chart value for the previous day. Each market has a specific threshold: if the measured share exceeds the respective threshold (18%, 20%, 21%, 23%, 24%, 25%, 26%, 28%, or 30%), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official connection with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.