TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
OpenAI share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

OpenAI share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$19,264

Above 20%

 - Kalshi

Above 20% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 20%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
$82
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 27%

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,307
N/A
N/A
$4,307
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 22%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,953
N/A
N/A
$2,353
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 23%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,302
N/A
N/A
$2,302
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 25%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,220
N/A
N/A
$2,220
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 29%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,200
N/A
N/A
$2,200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 26%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,101
N/A
N/A
$2,101
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 24%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,100
N/A
N/A
$2,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 30%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI development resources allocated to a specific technology provider by leading research institutions during a defined period. It reflects potential shifts in infrastructure preferences within the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence sector. The outcome depends on whether predetermined usage thresholds are met by a set date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for September 24, 2026. If the measured percentage exceeds the threshold specified in each market's title (ranging from above 20% to above 30%), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The share is calculated and rounded to one decimal place, with the final value determined from an updated chart at 10:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026. Each market applies its unique percentage threshold independently, allowing for multiple potential Yes outcomes depending on where the actual spend share falls relative to the defined levels. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.