TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Science and Technology
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$20,240

Above 14.9%

 - Kalshi

Above 14.9% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 14.9%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,871
N/A
N/A
$2,871
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 21.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,633
N/A
N/A
$3,633
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,400
N/A
N/A
$3,400
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 18.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,300
N/A
N/A
$2,300
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 22.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
$2,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 20.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,784
N/A
N/A
$1,783
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 27.5%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,552
N/A
N/A
$1,551
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 25.5%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 24.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI development resources allocated to a specific technology provider by leading research institutions on a particular date. It reflects potential trends in infrastructure preferences among top AI labs, offering insight into strategic technology adoption patterns.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs on October 4, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. The determining value will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on October 5, 2026, using the updated chart data. Each market has a distinct threshold: if the measured share exceeds the specified percentage (ranging from 14.9% to 27.5%), the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, with resolution contingent solely on whether the recorded spend share meets or exceeds their individual threshold. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all brand names referenced remain the property of their respective owners.