TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

Markets across

39,583

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Science and Technology
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$19,945

Above 24.9%

 - Kalshi

Above 24.9% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 24.9%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,153
N/A
N/A
$4,153
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 19.9%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,219
N/A
N/A
$2,219
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 23.0%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,113
N/A
N/A
$2,112
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 34.1%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,460
N/A
N/A
$2,460
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 28.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,100
N/A
N/A
$2,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 26.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,900
N/A
N/A
$1,900
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 27.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,900
N/A
N/A
$1,900
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 30.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,900
N/A
N/A
$1,900
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 31.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI processing requests handled by OpenAI through the Vercel platform on a specific future date. It reflects potential shifts in how leading research institutions choose to execute their AI tasks, indicating possible trends in platform preference or service usage within the AI development community.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top labs on October 4, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. The determining value will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on October 5, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold; resolution occurs if the measured share exceeds its specific percentage barrier. All markets operate independently under these consistent measurement and timing rules, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official connection to Vercel throughout.