TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
OpenAI share of requests on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will OpenAI’s share be?

Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$2,255
Volume 24h:
$1,295
44%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$2,243
135%

Above 18.9%

 - Kalshi

Above 18.9% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 19h:08m:37s

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 18.9%

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 18.9%

Trade
99%
41%
Yes 100¢No 21¢
21¢
N/A
$484
8%
N/A
$484
19h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 19.4%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 21¢
21¢
N/A
$174
988%
N/A
$174
19h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 20.9%

Trade
42%
Yes 31¢No 91¢
22¢
N/A
$262
4%
N/A
$262
19h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 22.4%

Trade
7%
Yes 21¢No 100¢
21¢
N/A
$2
0%
N/A
$2
19h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 19.8%

Trade
5%
58%
Yes 91¢No 23¢
14¢
N/A
$331
37%
N/A
$319
19h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 21.9%

Trade
1%
10%
Yes 21¢No 100¢
21¢
N/A
$1,002
50,000%
N/A
$1,002
19h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 17.9%

Trade
N/A
N/A
21¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
19h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 23.5%

Trade
N/A
N/A
21¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
19h 8m
Active
kalshi

Above 24.7%

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
19h 8m
Active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI processing requests handled by OpenAI through the Vercel platform on a specific future date. It reflects potential shifts in how leading research institutions utilize cloud services for artificial intelligence tasks, offering insight into evolving technology partnerships and infrastructure preferences.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top labs on November 2, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. The determining value will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold: if the measured share exceeds the specified percentage (ranging from 17.9% to 24.7%), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, allowing for varied outcomes depending on where the actual share falls relative to each threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the OpenAI request share market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $1,294 and the total volume is $2,255. You can see how traders are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for OpenAI’s share of requests on Vercel as of November 2, 2026. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment and allows you to analyze trading activity to understand how opinions are shifting.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Currently, it's difficult to find direct analyst forecasts for this specific metric – OpenAI’s share of Vercel requests in 2026. However, broader forecasts about AI market share and Vercel’s growth can offer a point of comparison. If analysts predict continued dominance of OpenAI, we might expect to see higher prices for outcomes reflecting a larger share in this market. Discrepancies between market prices and analyst views can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked factors.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of future price movements. This dynamic process creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of OpenAI’s request share on Vercel.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on Vercel’s publicly available data regarding the share of requests processed by OpenAI’s models on November 2, 2026. The final price will reflect the actual percentage of requests handled by OpenAI, as reported by Vercel, establishing the outcome for all contracts traded in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 3, 2026. Major announcements from OpenAI regarding new model releases, pricing changes, or partnerships could impact its market share. Similarly, developments at Vercel, such as the introduction of new AI gateway features or support for competing models, could shift the balance. Broader trends in the AI industry, like the emergence of new competitors or changes in regulatory landscapes, could also influence trader sentiment and, consequently, the prices in this market.