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Science and Technology
OpenAI corporate adoption rate in September
kalshi

OpenAI corporate adoption rate in September

Volume:
$55,081

Above 40.5%

 - Kalshi

Above 40.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 9:47 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 40.5%

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,059
N/A
N/A
$11,261
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 39.3%

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,428
N/A
N/A
$6,690
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 40.3%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,512
N/A
N/A
$4,911
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 39.7%

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,322
N/A
N/A
$5,918
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 39.5%

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,318
N/A
N/A
$5,918
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 40.1%

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,424
N/A
N/A
$4,399
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 39.9%

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,019
N/A
N/A
$3,923
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the anticipated adoption rate of OpenAI models within corporations by measuring how widely these advanced AI tools are integrated into business operations during a specific month. It reflects expectations about technological uptake and strategic implementation across industries.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the Ramp AI Index OpenAI model adoption rate for September 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from above 39.3% to above 40.5%. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported adoption rate exceeds the specified threshold for that market. The determining value is the first publicly reported figure in the Ramp AI Index for September 2026. Any subsequent corrections or revisions to the reported data after the market settlement will not alter the outcome. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with Ramp, and all referenced trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, assessing the adoption rate of OpenAI’s models is a topic of considerable debate among analysts. While many predict continued growth, forecasts vary significantly depending on assumptions about economic conditions and competitive pressures. This market offers a unique perspective, reflecting the collective judgment of traders who are putting capital behind their beliefs. It’s important to note that prediction market prices are dynamic and can shift rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially offering a different outlook than static analyst reports.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all traders on Kalshi regarding the OpenAI adoption rate in September.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the Ramp AI Index OpenAI model adoption rate for September 2026. The index methodology is publicly available and provides a clear standard for determining the outcome. Traders should review the index details to fully understand how the final result will be determined and verified.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from OpenAI regarding new model releases, pricing changes, or enterprise partnerships would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic trends, such as a recession or strong economic growth, could also influence corporate investment in AI technologies. Furthermore, competitive pressures from other AI providers, like Google or Anthropic, and any regulatory developments related to AI safety or deployment could all move this market. Any news impacting the overall AI landscape will be closely watched by traders.