TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Open source share of spend on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will open source share be by Nov 3, 2026?

Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$0N/A

Above 21.9%

 - Kalshi

Above 21.9% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 13h:20m:51s

Open source share of spend above 21.9%

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 21.9%

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 20m
Active
kalshi

Above 25.3%

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 20m
Active
kalshi

Above 27.1%

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 20m
Active
kalshi

Above 27.6%

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 20m
Active
kalshi

Above 29.9%

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 20m
Active
kalshi

Above 31.6%

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 20m
Active
kalshi

Above 34.1%

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 20m
Active
kalshi

Above 36.8%

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 20m
Active
kalshi

Above 38.2%

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 20m
Active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of resources allocated to openly shared software projects within a specific technology platform by a set date. It reflects the growing emphasis on transparency and collaboration in software development, where making code and models publicly accessible can accelerate innovation and community contributions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Open Weights percentage shown in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard, with the chart filtered to 'Group by Weights' and 'All Types' selected. The percentage is rounded to one decimal place, and 'Open source' specifically refers to models categorized under Vercel's Open Weights—those that publish their weights for download. The determining value will be captured at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026, using the updated chart data reflecting activity from November 2, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold; if the measured Open Weights percentage exceeds the respective threshold (ranging from 21.9% to 38.2%), that market resolves to 'Yes.' Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.