TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Omega Speedmaster Up or Down: May
kalshi

Omega Speedmaster Up or Down: May

Volume:
$2,474

Price to Beat: $6,598

 - Kalshi

Price to Beat: $6,598 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: May 31, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Price to Beat: $6,598

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,474
N/A
N/A
$2,128
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether the Speedmaster Professional Moonwatch 3861 Steel / Black / Sapphire / Bracelet will trade above $6,598 on the secondary market. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 89.0%. Resolution will be determined by the actual market value of this specific watch model on May 31, 2026, according to Kalshi's resolution source. Watch for luxury watch market trends and collector demand signals leading up to the May 31, 2026 resolution date.

Frequently asked questions

The Omega Speedmaster Up or Down: May dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether the Omega Speedmaster Professional Moonwatch 3861 Steel / Black / Sapphire / Bracelet will trade above $6598 by May 31, 2026. The dashboard displays the current implied probability, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume in USD. This single-venue view lets traders monitor market sentiment and liquidity as the contract approaches resolution, providing transparency into how the prediction market is pricing this luxury watch's price movement.

The Omega Speedmaster Up or Down: May market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official price of the Omega Speedmaster Professional Moonwatch 3861 Steel / Black / Sapphire / Bracelet at that time. The contract settles to YES if the price is above $6598, and NO if it is at or below that threshold. Traders should monitor official Omega retail pricing, authorized dealer listings, and secondary market data as the resolution date approaches to assess the likelihood of the outcome.

Several factors could influence the Speedmaster's price trajectory through May 2026. Official Omega price adjustments or new product releases may shift demand and perceived value. Macroeconomic conditions affecting luxury goods spending, currency fluctuations, and collector sentiment toward vintage and professional watches all play a role. Supply chain developments, brand announcements, or significant auction results for comparable Speedmasters could signal market direction. Additionally, changes in authorized dealer pricing, promotional activity, or secondary market trading volume may provide early signals of whether the $6598 threshold is likely to be breached by resolution.