TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q2
kalshi

Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q2

Volume:
$674

Above 5250

 - Kalshi

Above 5250 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 4:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5250

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$202
2mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 5225

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
$144
2mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 5275

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$224
2mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 5300

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
2mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 5325

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
2mo 3w 4d
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks Okta's performance by monitoring how many of its clients spent over $100,000 annually in the second quarter of 2027. The outcome depends on whether Okta reports a specific number of high-value customers during that period. The event reflects Okta's ability to retain and attract significant enterprise-level clients.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on Okta, Inc.'s reported number of customers with an annual contract value (ACV) exceeding $100,000 for Q2 2027. Multiple markets correspond to different customer count thresholds—ranging from 5,225 to 5,325 customers—each resolving to 'Yes' if Okta reports a count above its specific threshold. All markets share consistent secondary disclaimers stating that Kalshi has no official affiliation with Okta and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on Okta's official disclosure of qualifying customer counts for the specified quarter.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the Okta high-value customer market. It shows how traders value the likelihood of Okta securing customers with annual contract values exceeding $100k in Q2, using live data such as $674 in total volume and $454 in 24-hour volume to reflect market sentiment and activity.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced, real-time view of market expectations. While analysts may provide quarterly outlooks based on historical trends and projections, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust positions based on new information, news, and sentiment — potentially leading to tighter or divergent odds depending on recent developments.

This market resolves around Dec 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on whether Okta reports the required number of customers with annual contract values over $100k for the specified quarter, based on officially released financial data and verified announcements.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution: major product announcements from Okta, significant quarterly earnings reports, competitive moves by rival vendors, macroeconomic shifts affecting enterprise spending, and analyst updates on SaaS demand. Each of these could prompt traders on Kalshi to adjust odds, especially if they imply a change in the likelihood of Okta crossing the $100k ACV threshold for enough customers in Q2.