TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 11:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary runoff will take place on August 25, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary runoff will take place on August 25, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent each candidate’s chance of winning. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity levels affecting how quickly prices adjust. Volume of $10,600 helps determine how stable the market’s price is at any moment.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official vote count determines the winner, and the market settles based on who receives the most votes in the Republican primary for Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction.
Debates, endorsements from influential figures, campaign spending reports, and shifts in polling data could all move this market. Negative news such as scandals or legal issues for a front-runner might reduce their implied probability, while strong debate performances could boost a contender. As election day approaches, trader sentiment and betting volume often increase, causing more volatility in the market’s odds.